Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday


	Llanera		Langreo

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.25	3.5
	1.89	3.3	3.75
	2.04	3.25	3.87
	1.98	3.19	3.7	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.75
	1.89	3.3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.5)	3.27 ↑ (3)	3.72 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanera
47.3%

Draw
28.1%

Langreo
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

28.1%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llanera's performance.

Langreo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Langreo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llanera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Langreo than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Langreo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Llanera - Langreo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Brene I. ⚽,
71', Otia P. 🟥,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Llanera is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Langreo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Llanera will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Llanera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:12 (average 0.5:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Llanera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Llanera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.11.24	Deportivo A Coruña B - Llanera	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Llanera - Pontevedra	0:0 ✺
17.11.24	Compostela - Llanera	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Llanera - Valladolid B	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Real Ávila - Llanera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTLWL
- UP Langreo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.12.24	Langreo - Bergantiños	1:4 ✺
24.11.24	Coruxo - Langreo	3:0 ✺
16.11.24	Langreo - Real Avilés	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Guijuelo - Langreo	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Langreo - Rayo Cantabria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.08.22	Langreo - Llanera	3:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.02.22	Langreo - Llanera	3:0
25.09.21	Llanera - Langreo	2:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
17.09.17	Langreo - Llanera	4:0

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