Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera A - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Bello Horizonte (Villavicencio)

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Llaneros SA		Deportivo La Equidad

	1	X	2
	2.32	3	3.2	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3
	2.32	2.9	3.15	Watch
	2.47	3.05	3.2
	2.44	2.93	3.19	Watch
	2.4	2.9	3
	2.42	3.1	3.26	Watch
	2.32	2.9	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.17)	2.97 ↑ (2.85)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llaneros SA
39.1%

Draw
31.3%

Deportivo La Equidad
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

31.3%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

25.5%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llaneros SA that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Llaneros SA - Deportivo La Equidad Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Llaneros SA will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Llaneros SA: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Armesto K. (G) 31. Montes G. 20. Angulo J. 15. Valencia C. 27. Mosquera D. 29. Cantillo S. 5. Restrepo E. 14. Sierra C. 80. Hinojosa R. 10. Uruena B. (C) 9. Rangel M.	1. Varela C. (G) 29. Riascos L. 4. Tegue G. 24. Montano B. 3. Correa A. (C) 16. Mayo S. 6. Orozco S. 8. Tamara S. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 7. Del Valle A. 13. Abonia Y.
Substitutes
77. Acevedo H. (G) 19. Churi B. 11. Espinal F. 33. Lasso J. 23. Mina Chara J. E. 6. Sierra M. 70. Valencia K.	14. Acosta F. 28. Chaverra F. 10. Cruz W. 25. Lopez S. 12. Perez A. (G) 2. Polanco D. 26. Torralvo A.
Coaches
de la Pava J.	Mahecha J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Tegue G. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Rangel M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tamara S. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
46', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
50', Restrepo E. 🟨,
58', Cantillo S. ↓, Lasso J. ↑,
63', Riascos L. 🟨,
65', Riascos L. ↓, Cruz W. ↑,
67', Hinojosa R. ↓, Espinal F. ↑,
67', Sierra C. ↓, Valencia K. ↑,
69', Montes G. 🟨,
75', Montes G. ↓, Mina Chara J. E. ↑,
75', Rangel M. ↓, Churi B. ↑,
84', Abonia Y. 🟨,
86', Orozco S. 🟨,
87', Orozco S. ↓, Acosta F. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 20).

Recent matches Llaneros SA is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

La Equidad has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Llaneros SA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Llaneros SA will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Llaneros SA won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Llaneros SA won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera A
27.02.25	Independiente Medellín - Llaneros SA	3:0 ✺
18.02.25	Llaneros SA - Deportivo Cali	0:1 ✺
11.02.25	Llaneros SA - Millonarios	2:2 ✺
08.02.25	Boyacá Chicó - Llaneros SA	2:2 ✺
03.02.25	Llaneros SA - Unión Magdalena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTTW
- Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A
21.02.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Boyacá Chicó	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Unión Magdalena - Deportivo La Equidad	0:0 ✺
13.02.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Envigado	2:3 ✺
08.02.25	Millonarios - Deportivo La Equidad	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Nacional	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
01.09.21	Llaneros SA - Deportivo La Equidad	0:0
25.08.21	Deportivo La Equidad - Llaneros SA	1:0

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