Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera A - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win Sports+, Win Sports Online
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Deportivo La Equidad		Atlético Nacional

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.8	2.88	Watch
	2.6	2.85	2.75
	2.6	2.75	2.85
	2.76	2.83	3
	2.74	2.78	2.94
	2.62	2.88	2.8
	2.74	2.81	2.86	Watch
	2.6	2.75	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (3.91)	2.81 ↓ (3.02)	2.87 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo La Equidad
34.7%

Draw
33%

Atlético Nacional
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

30.9%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo La Equidad's performance.

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	36.4%	18.2%

Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. La Equidad will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for La Equidad: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Varela C. (G) 29. Riascos L. 4. Tegue G. 24. Montano B. 3. Correa A. (C) 17. Ricardo E. 14. Acosta F. 6. Orozco S. 10. Quinonez B. 9. Carvajal J. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D.	25. Marquinez L. (G) 6. Roman A. 23. Arias J. J. 33. Caicedo R. 13. Candido C. 32. Guzman S. 5. Toscano Bassa K. D. (C) 7. Gil Mosquera F. A. 11. Arce B. 18. Hinestroza M. 9. Morelos A.
Substitutes
5. Copete D. 7. Del Valle A. 21. Gomez S. 12. Perez A. (G) 2. Polanco D. 8. Tamara S. 26. Torralvo A.	3. Aguirre Tabares J. F. 27. Asprilla D. 15. Castillo H. (G) 26. Martinez F. 17. Salazar A. 31. Torres Patino J. P. 80. Zapata J.
Coaches
Garcia A.	Gandolfi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Gil Mosquera F. A. 🟨,
45+3', Morelos A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cruz W. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
46', Orozco S. ↓, Tamara S. ↑,
50', Acosta F. 🟨,
56', Acosta F. ↓, Copete D. ↑,
57', Roman A. ↓, Zapata J. ↑,
58', Morelos A. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
69', Marquinez L. 🟥,
72', Gil Mosquera F. A. ↓, Castillo H. ↑,
81', Castro Espinosa B. D. 🟨,
83', Arce B. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
83', Toscano Bassa K. D. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
83', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Del Valle A. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Salazar A. ⚽, Candido C. (A),
90+5', Montano B. 🟥,
90+9', Asprilla D. 🟥,
90+9', Copete D. 🟥,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 2.

Atlético Nacional is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

La Equidad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16:26 (average 0.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams La Equidad won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A
27.01.25	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo La Equidad	1:1 ✺
14.11.24	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo La Equidad	4:3 ✺
11.11.24	Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Pasto	2:2 ✺
05.11.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLTLW
- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Super Cup
29.01.25	Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.01.25	Atlético Nacional - Once Caldas	4:0 ✺
22.12.24	Atlético Nacional - Deportes Tolima	2:0 ✺
18.12.24	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
15.12.24	América de Cali - Atlético Nacional	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
30.07.24	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo La Equidad	0:1
25.02.24	Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Nacional	2:0
13.09.23	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo La Equidad	5:0
01.04.23	Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Nacional	0:0
30.10.22	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo La Equidad	1:1
14.05.22	Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Nacional	1:0
12.09.21	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo La Equidad	2:0

Upcoming Matches