Match Info

Date: 21 November 2020, Saturday


	Llaneros de Guanare		Unión Magdalena

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.95	2.9
	2.38	2.95	2.88	Watch
	2.42	2.85	3
	2.41	3.01	3.36
	2.4	2.9	3
	2.34	3.13	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.4)	2.97 ↓ (3.08)	3.02 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llaneros de Guanare
38.6%

Draw
31%

Unión Magdalena
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

29.2%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

21%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llaneros de Guanare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros de Guanare than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llaneros de Guanare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Magdalena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Llaneros de Guanare - Unión Magdalena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Llaneros is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Unión Magdalena is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Llaneros could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Llaneros have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Llaneros won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Llaneros won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llaneros de Guanare FC
Venezuelan Segunda Division
20.11.20	Llaneros de Guanare - Barquisimeto	2:1 ✺
18.11.20	Llaneros de Guanare - Angostura	1:0 ✺
15.11.20	Llaneros de Guanare - Fundación AIFI	2:2 ✺
Colombian Primera B
14.11.20	Llaneros de Guanare - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
13.11.20	Yaracuy - Llaneros de Guanare	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWTTW
- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera B
14.11.20	Unión Magdalena - Real San Andrés	1:0 ✺
09.11.20	Real San Andrés - Unión Magdalena	0:0 ✺
30.10.20	Unión Magdalena - Valledupar	0:1 ✺
23.10.20	Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	2:5 ✺
16.10.20	Unión Magdalena - Atlético Cali	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
31.01.20	Llaneros de Guanare - Unión Magdalena	4:0
28.08.18	Llaneros de Guanare - Unión Magdalena	2:1
01.04.18	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros de Guanare	0:0
Colombian Copa
14.03.18	Llaneros de Guanare - Unión Magdalena	2:1 penalties
10.03.18	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros de Guanare	0:0
Colombian Primera B
27.08.17	Llaneros de Guanare - Unión Magdalena	2:2
05.04.17	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros de Guanare	1:0

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