Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 3

Date: 5 June 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Sierra Nevada (Santa Marta)


	Unión Magdalena		Atlético Cali

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.2	Watch
	2.3	3	2.8
	3.03	3.35	2.22
	3.15	3.27	2.26	Watch
	3.05	3.35	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.39)	3.25 ↑ (3.04)	2.33 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Unión Magdalena
31.7%

Draw
28.5%

Atlético Cali
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

29.9%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

29.4%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Magdalena's form might have worsened.

Atlético Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Cali's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Magdalena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Cali than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Cali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Unión Magdalena - Atlético Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Atlético Cali will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión Magdalena: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Unión Magdalena will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Balanta E. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:11. (average 1.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Copa
29.05.25	Real Santander - Unión Magdalena	0:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
24.05.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Unión Magdalena - América de Cali	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Deportes Tolima - Unión Magdalena	3:1 ✺
04.05.25	Unión Magdalena - Once Caldas	Abandoned ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLL?
- Atlético Cali FC
Colombian Copa
01.06.25	Atlético Cali - Real Santander	3:2 ✺
28.05.25	Llaneros SA - Atlético Cali	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
18.05.25	Patriotas - Atlético Cali	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Atlético Cali - Leones	0:0 ✺
05.05.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Atlético Cali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
17.09.24	Atlético Cali - Unión Magdalena	0:2
13.04.24	Unión Magdalena - Atlético Cali	2:0
09.10.21	Unión Magdalena - Atlético Cali	3:3
07.05.21	Unión Magdalena - Atlético Cali	5:1
25.04.21	Atlético Cali - Unión Magdalena	1:1
29.03.21	Atlético Cali - Unión Magdalena	0:2
16.10.20	Unión Magdalena - Atlético Cali	1:1

Upcoming Matches