Match Info

Date: 14 November 2020, Saturday


	Llaneros de Guanare		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.45
	2.7	3.15	2.35
	2.75	3.15	2.35
	2.88	3.44	2.46
	2.8	3.1	2.38
	2.77	3.32	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.01)	3.23 ↓ (3.95)	2.4 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llaneros de Guanare
33.4%

Draw
28.4%

Fortaleza
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

22.8%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

17.1%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llaneros de Guanare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llaneros de Guanare's form might have worsened.

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortaleza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros de Guanare than the current prediction. (+26.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llaneros de Guanare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortaleza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Llaneros de Guanare - Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Llaneros is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fortaleza has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fortaleza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Llaneros won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Llaneros won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llaneros de Guanare FC
Venezuelan Segunda Division
13.11.20	Yaracuy - Llaneros de Guanare	2:3 ✺
10.11.20	Llaneros de Guanare - Universidad Central	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
09.11.20	Fortaleza - Llaneros de Guanare	2:3 ✺
02.11.20	Llaneros de Guanare - Tigres	2:1 ✺
24.10.20	Valledupar - Llaneros de Guanare	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWWL
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie A
11.11.20	Bahia - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
09.11.20	Fortaleza - Llaneros de Guanare	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.11.20	Athletico Paranaense - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
31.10.20	Fortaleza - Fluminense	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
30.10.20	Bogotá - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
09.11.20	Fortaleza - Llaneros de Guanare	2:3
20.09.20	Fortaleza - Llaneros de Guanare	1:1
28.07.19	Llaneros de Guanare - Fortaleza	2:0
Colombian Copa
08.05.19	Llaneros de Guanare - Fortaleza	1:0
24.04.19	Fortaleza - Llaneros de Guanare	1:1
Colombian Primera B
09.02.19	Fortaleza - Llaneros de Guanare	2:1
29.07.18	Llaneros de Guanare - Fortaleza	2:1

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