Match Info

Cymru North - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Llanuwchllyn		Penrhyncoch

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.15	4.7
	1.7	4.14	3.8
	1.69	4.24	4.11	Watch
	1.68	4.05	3.75
	1.64	4	4.01
	1.64	4.1	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.62)	4.11 ↓ (4.15)	4.08 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanuwchllyn
55.5%

Draw
22.2%

Penrhyncoch
22.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.2%

22.3%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

19.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanuwchllyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Penrhyncoch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanuwchllyn than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llanuwchllyn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Llanuwchllyn - Penrhyncoch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Aldred H. (Own goal),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Evans O. ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, Roberts G. ⚽,
71', 3 - 1, Davies J. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 1, Ifan G. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 11th and 16th in the Relegation).

Llanuwchllyn is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Penrhyncoch is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Llanuwchllyn may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Llanuwchllyn carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Llanuwchllyn	11	4	2	5	20:27	-7	14
16	Penrhyncoch	11	0	1	10	5:34	-29	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanuwchllyn FC
Welsh Cymru North
03.10.26	Guilsfield - Llanuwchllyn	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Llanuwchllyn - Caersws	2:5 ✺
12.09.26	Mold Alexandra - Llanuwchllyn	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Llanuwchllyn - Holyhead Hotspur	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Newtown - Llanuwchllyn	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTWL
- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
03.10.26	Penrhyncoch - Gresford Athletic	0:1 ✺
25.09.26	Ruthin Town - Penrhyncoch	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Penrhyncoch - Bangor 1876	1:5 ✺
05.09.26	Buckley Town - Penrhyncoch	5:0 ✺
31.08.26	Guilsfield - Penrhyncoch	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanuwchllyn FC
Welsh Cymru North
31.10.26	Llanuwchllyn - Denbigh Town	✺
- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
31.10.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Penrhyncoch	✺

Llanuwchllyn - Penrhyncoch