Match Info

Cymru North - Round 9

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday


	Ruthin Town		Penrhyncoch

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.5	2.55
	2.24	3.76	2.55
	2.35	3.66	2.7	Watch
	2.19	3.65	2.5
	2.22	3.62	2.53
	2.23	3.6	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.75)	3.63 ↓ (3.94)	2.56 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruthin Town
40.1%

Draw
24.8%

Penrhyncoch
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

23%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

19.8%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruthin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ruthin Town's form might have worsened.

Penrhyncoch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penrhyncoch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruthin Town than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penrhyncoch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ruthin Town - Penrhyncoch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Forbes D. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 1 - 0, Mann T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 2 - 0, Davies E. ⚽,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 14th and 16th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ruthin Town won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Ruthin Town (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Penrhyncoch has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Ruthin Town is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Ruthin Town has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 17:9 (averaging 2.4:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ruthin Town against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 12:6 goals (averaging 3:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Ruthin	10	2	2	6	9:20	-11	8
16	Penrhyncoch	10	0	1	9	4:30	-26	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruthin Town
Welsh Cymru North
12.09.26	Porthmadog - Ruthin Town	3:0 ✺
04.09.26	Ruthin Town - Caersws	0:3 ✺
28.08.26	Ruthin Town - Mold Alexandra	0:4 ✺
22.08.26	Guilsfield - Ruthin Town	2:2 ✺
14.08.26	Ruthin Town - Denbigh Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLTW
- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
12.09.26	Penrhyncoch - Bangor 1876	1:5 ✺
05.09.26	Buckley Town - Penrhyncoch	5:0 ✺
31.08.26	Guilsfield - Penrhyncoch	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Penrhyncoch - Denbigh Town	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Brickfield Rangers - Penrhyncoch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
31.12.25	Penrhyncoch - Ruthin Town	1:1
20.08.25	Ruthin Town - Penrhyncoch	3:1
12.10.24	Penrhyncoch - Ruthin Town	1:3
23.08.24	Ruthin Town - Penrhyncoch	2:3
10.02.23	Ruthin Town - Penrhyncoch	2:1
06.09.22	Penrhyncoch - Ruthin Town	1:1
04.12.21	Ruthin Town - Penrhyncoch	5:1

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