Match Info

Queensland Premier League - Round 13

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex (Moreton Bay)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Caboolture Sports		Capalaba

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.5	8.4
	1.24	6.49	7.16
	1.10	9.64	15.54	Watch
	1.25	5.5	7.5
	1.23	6.05	8.1	Watch
	1.46	4.7	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.46)	6.31 ↑ (4.7)	8.6 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caboolture Sports
74.4%

Draw
14.8%

Capalaba
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

19.3%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

18.7%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caboolture Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caboolture Sports's performance.

Capalaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Capalaba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caboolture Sports than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caboolture Sports that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capalaba than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Capalaba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Caboolture Sports - Capalaba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Queensland Premier League (Play Offs: ) and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Caboolture is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Capalaba is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Caboolture is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caboolture won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 2.8:1.2).

Including home match between the teams, Caboolture won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caboolture Sports
Australian Queensland Premier League
24.05.26	Robina City - Caboolture Sports	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Caboolture Sports - North Star	2:3 ✺
09.05.26	Holland Park Hawks - Caboolture Sports	3:5 ✺
25.04.26	Caboolture Sports - Redlands United	4:2 ✺
18.04.26	Caboolture Sports - St. George Willawong	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWT
- Capalaba FC
Australian Queensland Premier League
23.05.26	Brisbane Strikers - Capalaba	8:0 ✺
10.05.26	Capalaba - Ipswich FC	2:4 ✺
24.04.26	Capalaba - North Star	2:3 ✺
17.04.26	Holland Park Hawks - Capalaba	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Capalaba - Redlands United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Queensland Premier League
21.02.26	Capalaba - Caboolture Sports	1:3
04.07.25	Caboolture Sports - Capalaba	4:1
28.06.25	Capalaba - Caboolture Sports	1:2
21.07.24	Capalaba - Caboolture Sports	1:4
20.04.24	Capalaba - Caboolture Sports	2:1

Caboolture Sports - Capalaba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide