Match Info

Date: 4 May 2022, Wednesday


	Logan Lightning		Gold Coast Knights

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	4.8	1.43
	4.8	4.8	1.41
	5.4	4.8	1.4
	5.81	5.33	1.42
	6.5	4.6	1.35
	6	5.2	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.67 ↑ (5.03)	4.92 ↑ (4.55)	1.41 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Logan Lightning
16.2%

Draw
18.6%

Gold Coast Knights
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

20%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

20.1%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Logan Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Gold Coast Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Logan Lightning than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Knights than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	10%	50%

Logan Lightning - Gold Coast Knights Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Logan Lightning will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Gold Coast Knights will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gold Coast Knights: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 6).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Gold Coast Knights is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Logan Lightning won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Logan Lightning won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Logan Lightning
Australian NPL Queensland
23.04.22	Logan Lightning - Moreton Bay United	4:3 ✺
16.04.22	Logan Lightning - Eastern Suburbs	2:3 ✺
09.04.22	Olympic FC - Logan Lightning	3:2 ✺
01.04.22	Logan Lightning - Gold Coast United	1:0 ✺
27.03.22	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Logan Lightning	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWL
- Gold Coast Knights
Australian NPL Queensland
24.04.22	Gold Coast Knights - Eastern Suburbs	0:1 ✺
16.04.22	Peninsula Power - Gold Coast Knights	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Gold Coast Knights	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Gold Coast Knights - Brisbane City	3:1 ✺
26.03.22	Capalaba - Gold Coast Knights	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.3 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
30.07.21	Gold Coast Knights - Logan Lightning	2:1
17.04.21	Logan Lightning - Gold Coast Knights	1:2
Club Friendly
01.02.20	Gold Coast Knights - Logan Lightning	4:1
21.01.20	Logan Lightning - Gold Coast Knights	1:4

Logan Lightning - Gold Coast Knights: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide