Match Info
NPL Queensland - Round 11Date: 15 May 2026, FridayLocation: AJ Kelly Park (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | FQTV |
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Peninsula Power |
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Gold Coast Knights |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.18 |
3.5 |
2.72 |
Watch |
 |
2.14 |
3.85 |
2.81 |
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 |
2.22 |
3.83 |
2.8 |
Watch |
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2.15 |
3.5 |
2.75 |
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2.14 |
3.64 |
2.78 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.23) |
3.66 ↓
(3.76) |
2.77
(2.77) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Peninsula Power
42.1% | Draw
24.9% | Gold Coast Knights
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peninsula Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Gold Coast Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peninsula Power than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Knights than the current prediction. (-0.9%)Peninsula Power - Gold Coast Knights Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+6', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: ) and 5)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peninsula Power won 2.Peninsula Power has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Gold Coast Knights is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Peninsula Power won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Peninsula Power won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL Queensland | | | 12.07.25 | Gold Coast Knights - Peninsula Power | 0:0 | | 28.06.25 | Peninsula Power - Gold Coast Knights | 2:0 | | 08.06.24 | Gold Coast Knights - Peninsula Power | 3:2 | | 09.03.24 | Peninsula Power - Gold Coast Knights | 1:0 | | 08.09.23 | Gold Coast Knights - Peninsula Power | 5:0 | | 30.07.23 | Gold Coast Knights - Peninsula Power | 0:0 | | 29.04.23 | Peninsula Power - Gold Coast Knights | 1:4 |
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