The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Logroño United 19.9%
Draw 30.5%
Espanyol 49.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
30.3%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.1%
30.4%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Logroño United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Logroño United's form might have worsened.
Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Espanyol's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Logroño United than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Logroño United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Espanyol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Logroño United - Espanyol Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ashurst C. (G) 23. Rebeca 8. Masferrer Cruz M. 3. Matthews Z. 22. Morcillo J. 12. Amoh N. 14. Falfan D. 11. Leitner A. 19. Partido P. 10. Isina (C) 17. Mawete F.
1. Salvador R. (G) 22. Caracas D. 2. Botero S. 21. Guerra J. 5. Vallejo L. 20. Torroda A. 8. Campo A. (C) 11. Gama O. 15. Martinez L. 19. Arana P. 23. Browne P.
Substitutes
7. Asenjo M. G. 4. Castro I. 5. Cebolla N. 2. Colomina A. 9. Congo A. 18. Garcia S. 6. Martinez L. 13. Miralles M. (G) 16. Rouamba M. 21. Rubio P. 15. Velazco X. 24. Yeboah C.
9. Angeles 10. Baudet C. 35. Domenech A. 17. Garcia N. 13. Munoz M. (G) 7. Pablos J. 6. Torras M.
Coaches
Blanco H.
Monforte S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Guerra J. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Torroda A. ⚽,
32', Amoh N. 🟨,
42', Amoh N. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Partido P. ↓, Asenjo M. G. ↑,
57', 0 - 2, Campo A. ⚽, Vallejo L. (A),
58', Browne P. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
63', Mawete F. ↓, Congo A. ↑,
63', Morcillo J. ↓, Yeboah C. ↑,
63', Matthews Z. ↓, Rubio P. ↑,
73', Arana P. ↓, Pablos J. ↑,
73', Gama O. ↓, Angeles ↑,
83', Torroda A. ↓, Torras M. ↑,
83', Martinez L. ↓, Baudet C. ↑,
90+2', Botero S. 🟨,
90+2', Caracas D. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DUX Logroño won 2.
DUX Logroño is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Espanyol has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Espanyol is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, DUX Logroño won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, DUX Logroño won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Spain
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Ashurst C. (G) 
Rebeca 
Masferrer Cruz M. 
Matthews Z. 
Morcillo J. 
Amoh N. 
Leitner A. 
Mawete F. 
Salvador R. (G) 
Caracas D. 
Gama O. 
Browne P. 
Asenjo M. G. 
Congo A. 
Velazco X. 
Blanco H. 
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