Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jesus Navas (Sevilla)

Referee: Cuesta B. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana


	Sevilla		Espanyol

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.88	3.05	3.95
	1.99	3.25	3.95
	2.66	2.27	3.86	Watch
	1.86	3.22	4
	1.77	3.35	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.82)	3.07 ↓ (3.29)	3.99 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
46.7%

Draw
30.1%

Espanyol
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

26.9%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Sevilla - Espanyol Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sullastres E. (C) 30. Lopez A. 5. Llamas E. 4. Alvarez I. 15. Martin-Pozuelo E. 16. Arnaiz I. 6. Redondo A. 8. Alvarez A. 20. Marquez R. 19. Cerrato A. 23. Gabarro I.	1. Salvador R. (G) 22. Caracas D. 21. Guerra J. 5. Vallejo L. 16. Perea P. 20. Torroda A. 8. Campo A. (C) 11. Baradad O. 15. Martinez L. 17. Garcia N. 23. Browne P.
Substitutes
10. Cortes M. 13. Echezarreta M. (G) 17. Garcia D. 22. Hagel C. 9. Kanteh Cham F. 11. Moral L. 34. Torres J.	9. Angeles 19. Arana P. 10. Baudet C. 2. Botero S. 13. Munoz M. (G) 7. Pablos J. 6. Torras M.
Coaches
Losada D.	Monforte S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Browne P. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Alvarez A. ⚽, Alvarez I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Garcia N. ↓, Arana P. ↑,
58', Perea P. ↓, Botero S. ↑,
65', Redondo A. ↓, Kanteh Cham F. ↑,
65', Cerrato A. ↓, Hagel C. ↑,
72', Baradad O. ↓, Baudet C. ↑,
72', Browne P. ↓, Pablos J. ↑,
77', Alvarez A. ↓, Moral L. ↑,
88', Gabarro I. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 4.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Sevilla might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Sevilla - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 49.73%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC Women
Spanish Liga F Women
28.09.25	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Sevilla - Barcelona	0:5 ✺
13.09.25	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	3:0 ✺
06.09.25	Sevilla - Tenerife	0:4 ✺
31.08.25	Eibar - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLLLW
- RCD Espanyol Women
Spanish Liga F Women
27.09.25	Barcelona - Espanyol	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Tenerife - Espanyol	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Espanyol - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Espanyol - Atlético Madrid	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
26.01.25	Espanyol - Sevilla	0:0
19.10.24	Sevilla - Espanyol	1:0
26.06.21	Sevilla - Espanyol	2:1
15.11.20	Espanyol - Sevilla	0:3
22.02.20	Espanyol - Sevilla	0:1
20.10.19	Sevilla - Espanyol	4:0
17.03.19	Espanyol - Sevilla	2:0

Sevilla - Espanyol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide