Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 10

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Bonchuk (Dupnitsa)


	Marek Dupnitsa		Rilski Sportist

	1	X	2
	2	2.95	3.5
	1.98	2.98	3.51
	2.04	3.12	3.6
	1.94	2.9	3.4
	2.01	3	3.6
	2.4	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.34)	2.99 ↑ (2.83)	3.44 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marek Dupnitsa
43.7%

Draw
30.1%

Rilski Sportist
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

31.6%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

31.7%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marek Dupnitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marek Dupnitsa's performance.

Rilski Sportist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marek Dupnitsa than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marek Dupnitsa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rilski Sportist than the current prediction. (+4%)

Marek Dupnitsa - Rilski Sportist Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kostadinov K. (G) 88. Ajoku E. 38. Dyulgerov A. 10. Ganchev N. 19. Goranov D. 33. Kirilov D. 13. Lyubomirov V. 16. Mechev S. 3. Petkov M. 2. Plyakov N. 23. Viyachki E.	12. Petkov D. (G) 11. Boychev M. 10. Bozhilov G. 33. Chilikov P. 9. Dimitrov I. 22. Gyurov S. 14. Martinov E. 13. Minkov G. 6. Panov E. 98. Tartov G. 4. Todorov P.
Substitutes
22. Georgiev M. 71. Kaninski K. 44. Kaymakanski H. 72. Krastev M. 20. Kyuchukov A. 11. Miletic M. 12. Mladenov P. (G) 55. Sandev R. 9. Velichkov B. 18. Yordanov R.	20. Atanasov M. 17. Dryanov E. 18. Milanov I. 8. Mitkov M. 71. Mutafov R. 1. Nedelchev I. (G) 94. Nenov Y. 3. Quihunga J. 93. Rusinov I. 88. Totev T. 77. Yosifov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, ⚽,
34', 🟨,
35', 1 - 2, ⚽,
37', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 🟨,
64', 🟨,
66', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
73', (Penalty Awarded),
75', 🟨,
90', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 9th and 11th).

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Rilski Sportist	11	5	3	3	14:10	4	18
12	Marek	11	4	2	5	11:12	-1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
13.09.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Pirin Blagoevgrad	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Yantra Gabrovo - Marek Dupnitsa	3:0 ✺
02.09.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Nesebar	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Sportist Svoge - Marek Dupnitsa	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Dobrudzha Dobrich	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWTW
- FC Rilski Sportist Samokov
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
13.09.26	Rilski Sportist - Yantra Gabrovo	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Nesebar - Rilski Sportist	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Rilski Sportist - Sportist Svoge	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Rilski Sportist	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Rilski Sportist - Montana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWTW

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