Match Info

Date: 12 December 2020, Saturday


	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa		Septemvri Sofia

	1	X	2
	3.24	3.24	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.7)	3.24 ↓ (3.4)	2.03 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
27.8%

Draw
27.8%

Septemvri Sofia
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

26.4%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

16.8%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Septemvri Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Septemvri Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 7).

Recent matches Gorna Oryahovitsa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Septemvri Sofia is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gorna Oryahovitsa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Septemvri Sofia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gorna Oryahovitsa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Gorna Oryahovitsa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
05.12.20	Sportist Svoge - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	3:0 ✺
01.12.20	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Ludogorets II	0:2 ✺
21.11.20	Sozopol - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	3:3 ✺
07.11.20	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Septemvri Simitli	3:0 ✺
01.11.20	Yantra Gabrovo - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLTWW
- Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
29.11.20	Sportist Svoge - Septemvri Sofia	5:1 ✺
23.11.20	Septemvri Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:2 ✺
09.11.20	Ludogorets II - Septemvri Sofia	2:0 ✺
31.10.20	Septemvri Sofia - Kariana Erden	0:0 ✺
25.10.20	Sozopol - Septemvri Sofia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
29.11.19	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Septemvri Sofia	0:1

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