The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 25.5%
Draw 26.5%
Septemvri Sofia 48%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
20.6%
25.4%
54%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.6%
22.2%
47.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Septemvri Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Septemvri Sofia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Septemvri Sofia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Dobrev V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 1, Ventsislavov G. ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
94', 2 - 1, Romanyuk E. ⚽,
Preview
Gorna Oryahovitsa has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Septemvri Sofia is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this matchup, Septemvri Sofia is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Gorna Oryahovitsa has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:6 (averaging 0:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gorna Oryahovitsa against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:3 goals (averaging 0:1.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - the odds 4.31 are the expected chance of winning is 20.6%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
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