Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 16

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Lokomotiv stadium (Gorna Orjahovica)


	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa		Spartak Pleven

	1	X	2
	1.24	4.55	12.5
	1.26	5.15	11
	1.51	3.56	7.05	Watch
	1.23	4.4	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.41)	4.42 ↑ (3.6)	11.64 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
71%

Draw
21.1%

Spartak Pleven
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

25%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

23.8%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa's performance.

Spartak Pleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Pleven than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Spartak Pleven Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Milushev K. (G) 15. Arshev P. 8. Avramov I. 9. Ivanov J. 26. Ivanov M. 6. Kolev N. 3. Kuittinen M. 18. Mainis P. 5. Minkov M. 19. Paskov P. 20. Roymar R.	12. Turitsov V. (G) 7. Al Badarin M. 24. Antonov P. 16. Ivanov I. 6. Ivanov V. 13. Karakashev L. 14. Nikolaev I. 66. Petkov S. 2. Radoevski T. M. 20. Spasov P. 4. Trifonov M.
Substitutes
24. Ayeni A. 1. Dimitrov V. (G) 31. Haralambiev M. (G) 10. Kanchev D. 17. Kolev G. 4. Mihalev D. 14. Petrov M. 7. Todorov K. 27. Tsachev Y.	9. Ignatov Petrov A. 30. Makarski V. (G) 10. Shopov V. 17. Velkov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, ⚽,
37', 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, ⚽,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 2 - 1, ⚽,
70', 3 - 1, ⚽,
73', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Gorna Oryahovitsa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Spartak Pleven has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Gorna Oryahovitsa is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gorna Oryahovitsa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gorna Oryahovitsa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
08.11.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Ludogorets II	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Minyor Pernik	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Yantra Gabrovo - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	2:2 ✺
06.10.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Fratria	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Sevlievo - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWTTT
- PFC Spartak Pleven
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
02.11.25	Minyor Pernik - Spartak Pleven	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
28.10.25	Spartak Pleven - Botev Plovdiv	0:4 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.10.25	Spartak Pleven - Yantra Gabrovo	1:2 ✺
20.10.25	Fratria - Spartak Pleven	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
12.10.25	OFC Haskovo - Spartak Pleven	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
17.05.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Spartak Pleven	2:0
23.11.24	Spartak Pleven - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	2:2
30.09.19	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Spartak Pleven	3:0

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