Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday


	Grei		Nordstrand

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.90	2.00
	2.48	3.95	2.08
	2.78	4.12	1.96
	2.78	4.32	2.02	Watch
	2.75	4.05	1.94
	2.79	4.10	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.48)	4.07 ↓ (4.46)	2 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grei
33.1%

Draw
22%

Nordstrand
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

20.6%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

19.5%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Nordstrand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grei than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordstrand than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Grei - Nordstrand Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
26', 0 - 1, Barbosa S. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Langbraten P. E. ⚽,
35', 0 - 3, Langbraten P. E. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 3, Storseth E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 4, Moula J. ⚽,
67', 1 - 5, Moula J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Grei is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nordstrand's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nordstrand may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Nordstrand will win today's game, with odds of 2.16.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Grei won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:9. (average 0:3).

Including home match between the teams, Grei won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Grei	23	7	1	15	42:72	-30	22
13	Nordstrand	23	6	2	15	36:52	-16	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grei
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
20.06.26	Union Carl Berner - Grei	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Grei - Ready	3:5 ✺
30.05.26	Bærum - Grei	5:0 ✺
23.05.26	Grei - KFUM 2	2:3 ✺
14.05.26	Gamle Oslo - Grei	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Nordstrand IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
20.06.26	Nordstrand - Asker Fotball	0:2 ✺
06.06.26	Vålerenga 2 - Nordstrand	3:2 ✺
30.05.26	Nordstrand - KFUM 2	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Frigg Oslo - Nordstrand	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Nordstrand - Konnerud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
01.10.22	Nordstrand - Grei	6:0
28.05.22	Grei - Nordstrand	0:3
Club Friendly
06.02.18	Nordstrand - Grei	Canceled

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