The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Tashkent 24.6%
Draw 29.5%
Navbahor Namangan 45.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.6%
32.5%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
32.2%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Tashkent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Navbahor Namangan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Navbahor Namangan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Tashkent than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navbahor Namangan than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Navbahor Namangan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lokomotiv Tashkent - Navbahor Namangan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kozlov A. (G) 22. Poyonov S. 18. Kucherenko O. 5. Ismoilov A. 15. Susnjar A. 33. Zoteev O. 70. Reimov M. 14. Ivanov N. 8. Tupliev B. 7. Abraev K. 11. Abdukholikov T.
1. Yusupov U. (G) 2. Mirsaidov S. 4. Mamatkazin I. 34. Jgerenaia G. 22. Adkhamzoda U. 23. Ilic V. 13. Teidi B. 8. Kholmatov D. 97. Alex Fernandes 28. Kati K. 7. Jiyanov R.
Substitutes
88. Baratov I. 44. Habibullayev M. 61. Ibraimov N. 17. Mirzaev S. 28. Mukhammadiev S. 45. Nisic J. 12. Shevchenko N. (G) 10. Shodiboev S. 99. Zoirov M.
6. Abdurakhmonov S. 44. Chichinadze A. 70. Gulomov A. 5. Komilov D. 10. Komilov S. 18. Musaxonov I. 35. Rakhimov V. (G) 20. Ruziev K. 77. Usmonov M.
Coaches
Jelicic M.
Kapadze T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Ilic V. ⚽, Alex Fernandes (A),
16', 0 - 2, Jiyanov R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kholmatov D. ↓, Ruziev K. ↑,
46', Alex Fernandes ↓, Komilov D. ↑,
62', Poyonov S. ↓, Mukhammadiev S. ↑,
62', Abraev K. ↓, Ibraimov N. ↑,
62', Tupliev B. ↓, Mirzaev S. ↑,
64', Teidi B. ↓, Abdurakhmonov S. ↑,
71', Reimov M. ↓, Nisic J. ↑,
76', Ilic V. ↓, Komilov S. ↑,
79', Adkhamzoda U. ↓, Gulomov A. ↑,
80', Yusupov U. 🟨,
87', Susnjar A. ↓, Shodiboev S. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Tashkent won 0.
In recent matches, Lokomotiv Tashkent has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Navbahor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Lokomotiv Tashkent may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Tashkent won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Tashkent won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:7. (average 2.1:0.6).
Uzbekistan
Watch
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Kozlov A. (G) 
Poyonov S. 
Kucherenko O. 
Susnjar A. 
Ivanov N. 
Jgerenaia G. 
Ilic V. 
Teidi B. 
Alex Fernandes 
Kati K. 
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