Match Info

Super League - Round 3

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Pakhtakor Central Stadium (Tashkent)

Referee: Norsafarov F. (Uzb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uzbekistan	MTRK Sport


	Pakhtakor		Navbahor Namangan

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.35
	1.75	3.4	5.72
	1.62	3.54	5.34	Watch
	1.7	3.2	4.5
	1.75	3.6	4.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.61)	3.41 ↓ (3.68)	4.85 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pakhtakor
53.9%

Draw
27%

Navbahor Namangan
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

25%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Navbahor Namangan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Pakhtakor - Navbahor Namangan Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pakhtakor will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Navbahor will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pakhtakor: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pakhtakor (votes: 1 - 50%). Navbahor (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nazarov V. (G) 34. Nasrullaev S. 4. Tahseen Z. 55. Abdumazhidov M. 7. Alizhonov K. 10. Mozgovoy A. 77. Bozorov O. 27. Sobirkhuzhaev S. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 15. Erkinov K. 19. Parzyszek P.	1. Yusupov U. (G) 12. Mirsaidov S. 34. Jgerenaia G. 44. Chichinadze A. 22. Adkhamzoda U. 77. Usmonov M. 13. Teidi B. 8. Kholmatov D. 97. Alex Fernandes 17. Jiyanov R. 28. Kati K.
Substitutes
3. Azmiddinov S. 23. Buriev A. 50. Flamarion 17. Khamdamov D. 5. Khamraliev M. 35. Kuvvatov S. (G) 21. Resan B. 8. Saitov D. 14. Turdimurodov R.	6. Abdurakhmonov S. 70. Gulomov A. 23. Ilic V. 10. Komilov S. 4. Mamatkazin I. 3. Rakhimjonov Z. 35. Rakhimov V. (G) 20. Ruziev K. 9. Urinboev Z.
Coaches
Tadzhiev K.	Kapadze T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Kholmatov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Erkinov K. ↓, Khamdamov D. ↑,
46', Bozorov O. ↓, Resan B. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Kati K. ⚽,
62', Ibrokhimov I. 🟨,
65', 0 - 2, Jiyanov R. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Parzyszek P. ↓, Turdimurodov R. ↑,
66', Ibrokhimov I. ↓, Flamarion ↑,
79', Jiyanov R. ↓, Ilic V. ↑,
79', Kholmatov D. ↓, Ruziev K. ↑,
79', Teidi B. ↓, Abdurakhmonov S. ↑,
80', Tahseen Z. 🟨,
84', Tahseen Z. ↓, Azmiddinov S. ↑,
84', Kati K. ↓, Urinboev Z. ↑,
87', Usmonov M. ↓, Gulomov A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 1.

In this match, Pakhtakor is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Pakhtakor	22	14	7	1	39:20	19	49
3	Navbahor Namangan	22	13	5	4	39:21	18	44

Last Results with these Odds

Pakhtakor - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.26%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pakhtakor Tashkent
Uzbek League
04.03.26	Kokand 1912 - Pakhtakor	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Pakhtakor - Qizilqum	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.02.26	Rubin Kazan - Pakhtakor	2:0 ✺
Uzbek League
29.11.25	Navbahor Namangan - Pakhtakor	1:1 ✺
20.11.25	Pakhtakor - Nasaf Qarshi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLTW
- Navbahor Namangan
Uzbek League
05.03.26	Navbahor Namangan - Buxoro	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Dinamo Samarqand - Navbahor Namangan	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.02.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Navbahor Namangan	Canceled ✺
08.02.26	Rubin Kazan - Navbahor Namangan	2:0 ✺
Uzbek League
29.11.25	Navbahor Namangan - Pakhtakor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LW?LT

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
29.11.25	Navbahor Namangan - Pakhtakor	1:1
06.07.25	Pakhtakor - Navbahor Namangan	2:0
09.11.24	Navbahor Namangan - Pakhtakor	5:2
Uzbek Cup
30.08.24	Pakhtakor - Navbahor Namangan	0:1 penalties
Uzbek League
16.06.24	Pakhtakor - Navbahor Namangan	0:0
10.08.23	Navbahor Namangan - Pakhtakor	1:2
17.03.23	Pakhtakor - Navbahor Namangan	2:1

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