Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA NORDOST - ROUND 16

Date: 6 March 2024, Wednesday


	Lokomotive Leipzig		Berliner AK 07

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.7	4
	1.68	4	4.33	Watch
	1.76	4.3	4.25
	1.69	4.31	4.25
	1.44	4.2	5.8
	1.65	3.82	4.39
	1.67	3.8	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.5)	4.02 ↓ (4.32)	4.46 ↓ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotive Leipzig
56.2%

Draw
23.1%

Berliner AK 07
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

21.4%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

20.9%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotive Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotive Leipzig's form might have worsened.

Berliner AK 07 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotive Leipzig than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotive Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berliner AK 07 than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Lokomotive Leipzig - Berliner AK 07 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lokomotive Leipzig won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Lokomotive Leipzig is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Lokomotive Leipzig won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Lokomotive Leipzig won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotive Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
02.03.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Chemnitzer	1:1 ✺
28.02.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Meuselwitz	4:1 ✺
23.02.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Babelsberg	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Greifswald - Lokomotive Leipzig	4:0 ✺
13.02.24	Altglienicke - Lokomotive Leipzig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWLL
- Berliner AK 07
German Regionalliga Nordost
03.03.24	Berliner AK 07 - Chemie Leipzig	0:1 ✺
27.02.24	Berliner AK 07 - Berliner FC Dynamo	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Energie Cottbus - Berliner AK 07	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Berliner AK 07 - Hansa Rostock II	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Berliner AK 07	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
05.05.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Berliner AK 07	1:0
30.11.22	Berliner AK 07 - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:2
23.03.22	Berliner AK 07 - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:1
21.08.21	Lokomotive Leipzig - Berliner AK 07	1:2
23.08.20	Lokomotive Leipzig - Berliner AK 07	2:1
13.09.19	Lokomotive Leipzig - Berliner AK 07	2:2
07.04.19	Berliner AK 07 - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:3

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