Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	Lokomotive Leipzig		Babelsberg

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.95	4.55
	1.64	4.12	4.8
	1.62	3.84	4.51
	1.52	4.25	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.52)	4.04 ↓ (4.28)	4.8 ↓ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotive Leipzig
57.8%

Draw
22.9%

Babelsberg
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

21.4%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

20.1%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotive Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Babelsberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotive Leipzig than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotive Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babelsberg than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Lokomotive Leipzig - Babelsberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Cevis D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga North and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotive Leipzig won 3.

Lokomotive Leipzig is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Babelsberg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lokomotive Leipzig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lokomotive Leipzig is considered a favorite.

We predict that Lokomotive Leipzig will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Lokomotive Leipzig won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotive Leipzig won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotive Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
21.09.25	Hertha Berlin II - Lokomotive Leipzig	2:7 ✺
13.09.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Luckenwalde	4:0 ✺
31.08.25	Eilenburg - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:1 ✺
27.08.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Chemnitzer	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Hertha Zehlendorf - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW
- SV Babelsberg 03
German Regionalliga Nordost
19.09.25	Babelsberg - Altglienicke	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Eilenburg - Babelsberg	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Babelsberg - Chemnitzer	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Berliner FC Dynamo - Babelsberg	0:4 ✺
27.08.25	Babelsberg - Greifswald	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
15.03.25	Babelsberg - Lokomotive Leipzig	3:1
22.09.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Babelsberg	2:1
23.02.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Babelsberg	1:0
03.09.23	Babelsberg - Lokomotive Leipzig	4:1
28.05.23	Babelsberg - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:3
14.02.23	Lokomotive Leipzig - Babelsberg	4:3
16.04.22	Lokomotive Leipzig - Babelsberg	1:0

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