Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 11

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Margveti Zestafoni		Iveria Khashuri

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.54	2.38	Watch
	2.5	3.48	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.45)	3.51 ↑ (3.5)	2.37 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Margveti Zestafoni
36%

Draw
25.8%

Iveria Khashuri
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

26%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

24.7%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Margveti Zestafoni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Iveria Khashuri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Margveti Zestafoni than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iveria Khashuri than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Margveti Zestafoni - Iveria Khashuri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Chaduneli T. ⚽,
35', Abramishvili G. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 0 - 2, Khachidze O. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Margveti is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Iveria Khashuri has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Iveria Khashuri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Margveti 2006	22	9	3	10	30:35	-5	30
14	Iveria Khashuri	22	1	10	11	22:46	-24	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Margveti Zestafoni
Georgian Liga 3
07.05.26	Iberia 2010 - Margveti Zestafoni	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Margveti Zestafoni - Kolkheti Khobi	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Guria Lanchkhuti - Margveti Zestafoni	5:0 ✺
16.04.26	Margveti Zestafoni - Betlemi Keda	2:2 ✺
09.04.26	Merani Tbilisi - Margveti Zestafoni	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLTL
- Iveria Khashuri
Georgian Liga 3
24.04.26	Didube - Iveria Khashuri	0:0 ✺
20.04.26	Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - Iveria Khashuri	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Iveria Khashuri - Orbi	2:3 ✺
09.04.26	WIT Georgia - Iveria Khashuri	4:2 ✺
02.04.26	Iveria Khashuri - Tbilisi 2025	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLL

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