Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 20

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk)

Referee: Bultynck L. (Bel)


	Genk U23		Lommel

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.8	1.6	Watch
	4.25	3.95	1.68	Watch
	4.08	4.16	1.73	Watch
	4.2	3.8	1.62
	4.53	3.98	1.68	Watch
	4.5	4	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (3.85)	3.95 ↑ (3.86)	1.65 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk U23
21.3%

Draw
23.2%

Lommel
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

23.7%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

23.7%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Genk U23 - Lommel Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Genk U23 will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Lommel will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lommel: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lommel will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Brughmans L. (G) 2. Pierre K. 62. Cauwel M. 22. Manguelle B. (C) 55. Yoshinaga Y. 79. Nzoko D. 56. De Wannemacker A. 86. Haroun K. 76. Driessen J. 30. Yokoyama A. 50. Beniangba V.	1. Ivezic N. (G) 3. Eyoma T. 13. Banguera Riascos J. A. 5. Wouters D. 79. De Grand S. 98. Salah M. 6. Pelupessy J. 18. Lopez L. 10. Reyners T. 15. Schoofs L. (C) 30. Seuntjens R.
Substitutes
78. Achahbar K. 67. Camara A. 66. Coenen J. 59. Kapers W. 89. Kim M. 53. Mocsnik M. 84. Sarfo E. 82. Vliegen O. (G) 63. Zion H.	64. Ohaka D. 34. Oware H. 55. Ramundo M. (G) 73. Reumers A. 8. Rommens N. 77. Tewelde F. 14. Tolinsson J. 93. Vancsa Z. 9. van Duiven J.
Coaches
de Camargo I.	Johnson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
40', 0 - 1, Seuntjens R. ⚽, De Grand S. (A),
43', 0 - 2, Schoofs L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Driessen J. ↓, Kim M. ↑,
61', Salah M. ↓, van Duiven J. ↑,
62', Manguelle B. ↓, Zion H. ↑,
62', Nzoko D. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
62', Lopez L. ↓, Rommens N. ↑,
72', Banguera Riascos J. A. 🟨,
73', Seuntjens R. ↓, Vancsa Z. ↑,
81', Cauwel M. ↓, Coenen J. ↑,
86', Reyners T. ↓, Oware H. ↑,
86', Eyoma T. ↓, Tolinsson J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk U23 won 2.

Genk U23 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lommel is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Genk U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lommel is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Genk U23 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Genk U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.8:2.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Genk U23	6	2	1	3	12:14	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genk U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
17.12.25	Genk U23 - Beveren	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Lokeren - Genk U23	2:2 ✺
09.12.25	Genk U23 - Anderlecht U23	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Lierse - Genk U23	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Genk U23 - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTWLL
- Lommel SK
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Puskás Academy - Lommel	1:3 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
19.12.25	Lommel - Lierse	4:3 ✺
16.12.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Lommel	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	Lommel - Gent U23	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Eupen - Lommel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
19.09.25	Lommel - Genk U23	1:2
05.04.25	Lommel - Genk U23	2:0
25.10.24	Genk U23 - Lommel	0:4
25.02.24	Genk U23 - Lommel	1:1
01.12.23	Lommel - Genk U23	0:1
21.04.23	Genk U23 - Lommel	2:3
12.03.23	Lommel - Genk U23	2:0

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