Match Info

BELGIUM: Challenger Pro League - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Dakota Arena (Deinze)

Referee: De Couvreur H. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 3


	Deinze		Genk U23

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.8	4.33	Watch
	1.7	3.6	3.9
	1.78	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.77	3.8	4.49
	1.77	3.75	4.27	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4
	1.74	3.82	4.06	Watch
	1.78	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.69)	3.76 ↓ (4.05)	4.18 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deinze
53.1%

Draw
24.7%

Genk U23
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

22.9%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

22.7%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deinze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Genk U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deinze than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Deinze - Genk U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Miras N. (G) 13. Prychynenko D. 23. Schuermans K. 16. Janssens C. 7. Staelens A. 14. Daci E. 4. Sierra J. 10. Hendrickx G. (C) 8. De Schryver G. 11. Fdaouch Z. 18. van Landschoot J.	82. Vliegen O. (G) 2. Pierre K. 54. Onstein J. 22. Manguelle B. 55. Yoshinaga Y. 65. Akpan C. 66. Bafdili Z. 60. Lazar S. E. 78. Lukanic L. 52. Da Costa W. 59. Mirisola R.
Substitutes
77. Almenara G. 20. Burgos I. 6. De Ridder S. 55. Dierckx T. 28. Dutoit W. (G) 81. Musuayi Y. 21. Van Acker T. 17. Vansteenkiste J. 5. Welch R.	72. Barry A. A. 70. Bouazzaoui I. 75. Caicedo A. 62. Cauwel M. 64. Martens N. 74. Nuozzi C. 71. Stevens B. (G) 80. Toure S.
Coaches
Losada H.	Buffel T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, De Schryver G. ⚽, Fdaouch Z. (A),
11', Janssens C. 🟨,
31', Akpan C. 🟨,
45+1', Lazar S. E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Manguelle B. ↓, Cauwel M. ↑,
65', Sierra J. 🟨,
69', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Almenara G. ↑,
69', Lazar S. E. ↓, Nuozzi C. ↑,
69', Lukanic L. ↓, Toure S. ↑,
77', Staelens A. ↓, Van Acker T. ↑,
77', De Schryver G. ↓, Dierckx T. ↑,
83', Bafdili Z. ↓, Martens N. ↑,
83', Da Costa W. ↓, Bouazzaoui I. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deinze won 2.

Recent matches Deinze is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Genk U23 is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Genk U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Deinze is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Deinze won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.8:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Deinze won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:7 (average 2.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Deinze
Belgian Challenger Pro League
04.10.24	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Deinze	3:1 ✺
28.09.24	Lokeren - Deinze	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Deinze - Brugge U23	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Deinze - RAAL La Louvière	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Lierse - Deinze	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTWLW
- Genk U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
06.10.24	Genk U23 - Anderlecht U23	1:0 ✺
27.09.24	Eupen - Genk U23	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Genk U23 - RWDM Brussels	0:3 ✺
15.09.24	Beveren - Genk U23	3:2 ✺
01.09.24	Genk U23 - Francs Borains	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
14.01.24	Genk U23 - Deinze	3:2
20.10.23	Deinze - Genk U23	3:2
06.05.23	Genk U23 - Deinze	0:2
25.02.23	Deinze - Genk U23	1:3
12.11.22	Genk U23 - Deinze	0:0
19.08.22	Deinze - Genk U23	3:2

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