Match Info

BELGIUM: Challenger Pro League - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Soevereinstadion (Lommel)

Referee: Ledda M. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1


	Lommel		Zulte Waregem

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.1	Watch
	2.95	3.3	2.1
	3.2	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.41	3.42	2.15
	3.24	3.41	2.16	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.21	3.5	2.06
	3.2	3.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.95)	3.39 ↓ (3.42)	2.13 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lommel
29.2%

Draw
27.3%

Zulte Waregem
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

27.2%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

26.1%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lommel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Lommel - Zulte Waregem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ivezic N. (G) 2. Aguilar K. 14. Tolinsson J. 5. Wouters D. 34. Owari H. 15. Schoofs L. (C) 33. Diego Rosa 17. Dermane K. 98. Boukammiri M. 9. van Duiven J. 80. Stevanovic F.	23. van der Gouw E. (G) 14. Barkarson A. 3. Tanghe A. 31. Willen L. 19. Nyssen B. 8. Rommens N. 17. Demba P. 11. Gavriel S. 24. Erenbjerg J. 10. Traore A. 22. Opoku J.
Substitutes
38. Amankwah Y. 13. Banguera Riascos J. A. 8. Kebe I. 64. Letsosa T. 18. McGrath D. 23. Pieklak M. (G) 11. Santos A. 44. Titi Y. 31. Vercauteren R. (G)	1. Bostyn L. (G) 55. Cappelle Y. 7. Challouk Y. 47. Labie A. 4. Lemoine L. 99. Machado M. 21. Nnadi T. 64. Sergeant T. 9. Vossen J.
Coaches
Bould S.	Vandenbroeck S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', Erenbjerg J. 🟨,
25', Rommens N. 🟨,
25', Demba P. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Traore A. ⚽, Gavriel S. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Diego Rosa ⚽, Stevanovic F. (A),
42', Tolinsson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Tolinsson J. ↓, Amankwah Y. ↑,
62', Diego Rosa ↓, Kebe I. ↑,
72', Aguilar K. ↓, Titi Y. ↑,
76', Dermane K. 🟨,
76', Gavriel S. ↓, Machado M. ↑,
76', Traore A. ↓, Vossen J. ↑,
79', Tanghe A. 🟨,
83', Owari H. 🟥,
85', Stevanovic F. ↓, Banguera Riascos J. A. ↑,
88', Erenbjerg J. ↓, Challouk Y. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Machado M. ⚽, Nyssen B. (A),
90+4', Schoofs L. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League).

Recent matches Lommel is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Waregem is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lommel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lommel won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.2:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Lommel won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lommel SK
Belgian Challenger Pro League
08.12.24	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Lommel	4:0 ✺
29.11.24	Lommel - Lokeren	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	RAAL La Louvière - Lommel	5:1 ✺
09.11.24	Lommel - Deinze	1:1 ✺
01.11.24	Brugge U23 - Lommel	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLTW
- Zulte Waregem
Belgian Challenger Pro League
07.12.24	Zulte Waregem - Beveren	4:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
04.12.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Zulte Waregem	5:0 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
29.11.24	Genk U23 - Zulte Waregem	2:3 ✺
24.11.24	Zulte Waregem - Seraing	5:1 ✺
10.11.24	Zulte Waregem - RAAL La Louvière	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
01.05.24	Lommel - Zulte Waregem	1:0
27.04.24	Zulte Waregem - Lommel	1:1
10.02.24	Zulte Waregem - Lommel	0:3
27.10.23	Lommel - Zulte Waregem	1:1
Belgian Cup
09.11.22	Lommel - Zulte Waregem	0:1

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