Match Info

BELGIUM: Challenger Pro League - Round 13

Date: 29 November 2024, Friday

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk)

Referee: De Keyzer T. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 3


	Genk U23		Zulte Waregem

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.75	1.5	Watch
	5	4.2	1.47
	5.5	4.5	1.5	Watch
	5.64	4.74	1.49
	5.51	4.55	1.51	Watch
	5.5	4.5	1.44
	5.24	4.74	1.5	Watch
	5.5	4.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 ↓ (5.54)	4.56 ↓ (4.67)	1.49 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk U23
17.2%

Draw
20.4%

Zulte Waregem
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

19.9%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

19.2%

65.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Zulte Waregem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	5.6%	83.3%

Genk U23 - Zulte Waregem Predictions

Users Predictions: Zulte Waregem will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Penders M. (G) 2. Pierre K. 62. Cauwel M. 34. Palacios A. 55. Yoshinaga Y. 65. Akpan C. 78. Lukanic L. 64. Martens N. 15. Claes T. 60. Lazar S. E. 59. Mirisola R.	23. van der Gouw E. (G) 19. Nyssen B. 3. Tanghe A. 31. Willen L. 14. Barkarson A. 8. Rommens N. 17. Demba P. 24. Erenbjerg J. 7. Challouk Y. 22. Opoku J. 9. Vossen J.
Substitutes
66. Bafdili Z. 72. Barry A. A. 70. Bouazzaoui I. 67. Camara A. 73. Mbavu E. 79. Nzoko D. 58. Oyatambwe M. 63. Reumers A. 82. Vliegen O. (G)	1. Bostyn L. (G) 55. Cappelle Y. 29. Fraser N. 11. Gavriel S. 47. Labie A. 4. Lemoine L. 99. Machado M. 21. Nnadi T. 64. Sergeant T. 10. Traore A.
Coaches
Buffel T.	Vandenbroeck S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Tanghe A. ⚽, Rommens N. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Vossen J. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Mirisola R. ⚽, Yoshinaga Y. (A),
45', Challouk Y. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 3, Vossen J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', Challouk Y. ↓, Gavriel S. ↑,
73', Lukanic L. ↓, Bafdili Z. ↑,
73', Lazar S. E. ↓, Nzoko D. ↑,
77', Willen L. 🟨,
86', Martens N. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
86', Cauwel M. ↓, Oyatambwe M. ↑,
87', Erenbjerg J. ↓, Nnadi T. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 3, Oyatambwe M. ⚽, Nzoko D. (A),
90+5', Opoku J. ↓, Lemoine L. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League).

Genk U23 has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Waregem is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Waregem have a series of home games.

In this match Waregem is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Genk U23 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Genk U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genk U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
22.11.24	Lierse - Genk U23	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Genk U23 - Brugge U23	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Lokeren - Genk U23	4:0 ✺
25.10.24	Genk U23 - Lommel	0:4 ✺
19.10.24	Deinze - Genk U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- Zulte Waregem
Belgian Challenger Pro League
24.11.24	Zulte Waregem - Seraing	5:1 ✺
10.11.24	Zulte Waregem - RAAL La Louvière	2:1 ✺
01.11.24	RWDM Brussels - Zulte Waregem	2:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
29.10.24	Zulte Waregem - Dender EH	2:1 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
26.10.24	Zulte Waregem - Francs Borains	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
21.01.24	Zulte Waregem - Genk U23	1:1
15.09.23	Genk U23 - Zulte Waregem	2:4

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