Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco (Lorca)


	Lorca Deportiva		CD Extremadura

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.05	2.3
	2.88	3.15	2.46
	7.10	1.27	6.62	Watch
	2.9	3.14	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↓ (4.07)	2.65 ↓ (3.44)	3.45 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorca Deportiva
27.6%

Draw
40.9%

CD Extremadura
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

26.9%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

25.9%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

CD Extremadura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CD Extremadura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorca Deportiva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Extremadura than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CD Extremadura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lorca Deportiva - CD Extremadura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+1', Morcillo L. 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Lorca Deportiva is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Extremadura is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Lorca Deportiva has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.10.25	Recreativo Huelva - Lorca Deportiva	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Lorca Deportiva	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Lorca Deportiva - La Unión	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	UCAM Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.25	Águilas - Lorca Deportiva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLLT
- CD Extremadura
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.10.25	CD Extremadura - UCAM Murcia	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Águilas - CD Extremadura	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	CD Extremadura - Yeclano Deportivo	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Real Jaén - CD Extremadura	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	CD Extremadura - Atlético Malagueño	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWWWW

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