Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday


	Lornano Badesse		Tiferno Lerchi

	1	X	2
	2.37	3	2.7
	2.36	2.95	2.7
	2.36	3.02	2.8
	2.43	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.41)	3.02 ↓ (3.03)	2.74 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lornano Badesse
37.6%

Draw
29.7%

Tiferno Lerchi
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

29.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

21.8%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lornano Badesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Tiferno Lerchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lornano Badesse than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lornano Badesse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiferno Lerchi than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tiferno Lerchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 8).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Lornano Badesse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lornano Badesse won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Lornano Badesse won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Lornano Badesse
Italian Serie D - Group E
23.01.22	Lornano Badesse - SanGiovanniValdarno	1:2 ✺
22.12.21	Arezzo - Lornano Badesse	3:3 ✺
18.12.21	Lornano Badesse - Foligno	4:2 ✺
12.12.21	Montespaccato - Lornano Badesse	2:1 ✺
08.12.21	Lornano Badesse - Follonica Gavorrano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWLW
- Tiferno Lerchi
Italian Serie D - Group E
23.01.22	Scandicci - Tiferno Lerchi	1:2 ✺
19.01.22	Tiferno Lerchi - Cannara	2:1 ✺
12.01.22	Pianese - Tiferno Lerchi	2:0 ✺
12.12.21	Tiferno Lerchi - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	2:2 ✺
08.12.21	Poggibonsi - Tiferno Lerchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
19.09.21	Tiferno Lerchi - Lornano Badesse	1:1
09.05.21	Lornano Badesse - Tiferno Lerchi	2:1
10.01.21	Tiferno Lerchi - Lornano Badesse	2:1

Lornano Badesse - Tiferno Lerchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide