Match Info

Date: 22 December 2021, Wednesday


	Arezzo		Lornano Badesse

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.6	3.4
	2.1	2.8	3.6
	2.09	3.1	3.05
	2.13	2.59	3.71
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.09	3.35	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.12)	2.91 ↓ (3.2)	3.35 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
42.2%

Draw
30.9%

Lornano Badesse
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

18.9%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Lornano Badesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arezzo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lornano Badesse than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lornano Badesse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arezzo - Lornano Badesse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Lornano Badesse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arezzo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie D - Group E
18.12.21	Cannara - Arezzo	0:2 ✺
12.12.21	Arezzo - Pianese	2:0 ✺
05.12.21	Arezzo - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	2:1 ✺
28.11.21	Poggibonsi - Arezzo	4:0 ✺
21.11.21	Arezzo - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLT
- ASD Lornano Badesse
Italian Serie D - Group E
18.12.21	Lornano Badesse - Foligno	4:2 ✺
12.12.21	Montespaccato - Lornano Badesse	2:1 ✺
08.12.21	Lornano Badesse - Follonica Gavorrano	2:0 ✺
04.12.21	Trestina - Lornano Badesse	1:2 ✺
28.11.21	Lornano Badesse - Rieti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWW

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