Match Info

Date: 8 December 2021, Wednesday


	Los Barrios		Ciudad de Lucena

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.2	1.71
	4.35	3.25	1.64
	3.95	3.2	1.77
	3.9	3.54	1.74
	4.6	3.1	1.75
	4.65	3.32	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↓ (5.7)	3.27 ↓ (3.74)	1.73 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Barrios
20.8%

Draw
27.4%

Ciudad de Lucena
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

24.2%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

20%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Barrios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Ciudad de Lucena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ciudad de Lucena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Barrios than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Barrios that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ciudad de Lucena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Los Barrios - Ciudad de Lucena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Los Barrios has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ciudad de Lucena is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ciudad de Lucena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ciudad de Lucena is a favorite.

Ciudad de Lucena is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Last 4 head-to-head matches Los Barrios won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Los Barrios won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Los Barrios
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
04.12.21	Ceuta B - Los Barrios	1:0 ✺
28.11.21	Los Barrios - Utrera	0:3 ✺
21.11.21	Tomares - Los Barrios	3:1 ✺
13.11.21	Los Barrios - Recreativo Huelva	0:2 ✺
07.11.21	Córdoba B - Los Barrios	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
05.12.21	Ciudad de Lucena - Puente Genil	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Sevilla C - Ciudad de Lucena	1:2 ✺
21.11.21	Ciudad de Lucena - Gerena	2:0 ✺
14.11.21	Conil - Ciudad de Lucena	0:0 ✺
07.11.21	Ciudad de Lucena - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
29.09.19	Los Barrios - Ciudad de Lucena	2:0
07.01.19	Ciudad de Lucena - Los Barrios	2:2
02.09.18	Los Barrios - Ciudad de Lucena	0:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
28.02.18	Los Barrios - Ciudad de Lucena	0:0

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