Match Info

Date: 12 September 2020, Saturday


	Loudoun United		Philadelphia Union II

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.7	4.33
	1.52	3.95	4.7
	1.58	3.95	4.5
	1.58	4.31	4.89
	1.62	4	4.5
	1.58	4.15	4.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.85)	4.01 ↑ (3.3)	4.6 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loudoun United
57.4%

Draw
22.7%

Philadelphia Union II
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27.2%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

18.9%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Loudoun United's performance.

Philadelphia Union II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-23.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Loudoun United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia Union II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Loudoun United - Philadelphia Union II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Loudoun has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Philadelphia II has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Loudoun has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Philadelphia II is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Philadelphia II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Loudoun will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Loudoun won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Loudoun won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loudoun United
USL Championship
05.09.20	Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United	2:1 ✺
01.09.20	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Loudoun United	3:0 ✺
29.08.20	Loudoun United - New York Red Bulls 2	2:3 ✺
23.08.20	Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United	2:2 ✺
19.08.20	Loudoun United - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLTL
- Philadelphia Union II
USL Championship
09.09.20	New York Red Bulls 2 - Philadelphia Union II	6:0 ✺
06.09.20	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Philadelphia Union II	2:0 ✺
02.09.20	Philadelphia Union II - Atlanta United II	1:2 ✺
05.08.20	Philadelphia Union II - New York Red Bulls 2	3:2 ✺
01.08.20	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Philadelphia Union II	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
07.03.20	Philadelphia Union II - Loudoun United	0:0
18.09.19	Philadelphia Union II - Loudoun United	5:2
03.05.19	Loudoun United - Philadelphia Union II	3:3

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