Match Info

Date: 8 June 2022, Wednesday

Location: Segra Field (Leesburg)

Referee: Gray J. (Usa)


	Loudoun United		New York Red Bulls 2

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3
	2.07	3.6	2.85
	2.02	3.5	2.95
	2.04	3.87	3.16
	2	3.5	3.1
	2.01	3.7	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.08)	3.63 ↑ (3.33)	3.03 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loudoun United
44.9%

Draw
25.1%

New York Red Bulls 2
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

27.5%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

26.5%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Loudoun United - New York Red Bulls 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Loudoun will win (votes: 2 - 40%). New York Red Bulls 2 will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 13).

Loudoun has the most likely position - 12 (22.3%), has project points - 28, has currently - 8, has a very small chance of playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

New York Red Bulls 2 has the most likely position - 14 (40.51%), has project points - 23, has currently - 5, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 6, very small importance 1, very small match rating 4. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Loudoun won 1.

One and the other team has got a line of lost games.

Loudoun could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Loudoun will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Loudoun won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Loudoun won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loudoun United
USL Championship
28.05.22	Loudoun United - Charleston Battery	1:1 ✺
22.05.22	Loudoun United - Memphis 901	0:3 ✺
14.05.22	Detroit City - Loudoun United	4:2 ✺
07.05.22	Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Loudoun United - El Paso Locomotive	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL
- New York Red Bulls 2
USL Championship
02.06.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - San Diego Loyal	2:2 ✺
27.05.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Birmingham Legion	1:2 ✺
21.05.22	Indy Eleven - New York Red Bulls 2	2:0 ✺
14.05.22	Hartford Athletic - New York Red Bulls 2	3:2 ✺
08.05.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Sacramento Republic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
19.03.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Loudoun United	0:3
30.10.21	Loudoun United - New York Red Bulls 2	1:4
20.10.21	New York Red Bulls 2 - Loudoun United	3:0
30.09.21	New York Red Bulls 2 - Loudoun United	3:3
18.05.21	Loudoun United - New York Red Bulls 2	1:2
29.08.20	Loudoun United - New York Red Bulls 2	2:3
12.08.20	New York Red Bulls 2 - Loudoun United	1:2

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