Match Info

MLS Next Pro

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Subaru Park (Chester, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Philadelphia Union II		New York Red Bulls 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.5	2.2
	2.72	3.7	2.22	Watch
	2.83	3.94	2.17
	2.79	3.92	2.19	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.2
	2.76	3.54	2.19	Watch
	2.5	3.45	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.5)	3.62 ↑ (3.45)	2.22 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Union II
33.8%

Draw
25.2%

New York Red Bulls 2
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

26.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

26.4%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Union II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Philadelphia Union II - New York Red Bulls 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
74. Rick A. (C) 38. Sequera G. 40. Uzcategui R. 66. Sundstrom F. 68. Griffin J. 47. LeBlanc K. 42. Berthe M. 41. De Paula M. 77. Davis III E. 37. Korzeniowski S. 51. Jakupovic M.	72. Szewczyk T. (G) 52. Modelo A. 14. Bazan J. 71. Sanchez A. 23. Masanka Bungi J. 22. Gjengaar D. 80. Worth N. 61. Cadigan D. 92. Nelich D. 33. Mitchell R. 70. Rojas A.
Substitutes
36. Benitez O. 65. Craig A. 49. Ferreira W. 63. Hasan N. 30. Holbrook P. (G) 46. Moore K. 55. Olivas S. 90. Pratt O. 94. Smith A. (G)	38. Bori J. 55. Causey A. (G) 45. Faello C. 89. Gallagher C. 17. Harper C. 91. Jimenez M. 60. Kone S. 83. Rodriguez B. 62. Sokoloff P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Rojas A. 🟨,
14', Sequera G. 🟨,
20', De Paula M. 🟨,
39', Sundstrom F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Rojas A. ↓, Jimenez M. ↑,
46', Mitchell R. ↓, Sokoloff P. ↑,
48', Davis III E. ↓, Ferreira W. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Korzeniowski S. ⚽,
59', Modelo A. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
59', Masanka Bungi J. ↓, Faello C. ↑,
65', Gjengaar D. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Jimenez M. ⚽, Bazan J. (A),
70', Berthe M. ↓, Benitez O. ↑,
70', LeBlanc K. ↓, Olivas S. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Nelich D. ⚽,
79', Sokoloff P. 🟨,
86', Nelich D. ↓, Harper C. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia II won 2.

In recent matches, Philadelphia II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

New York Red Bulls 2 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Philadelphia II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

New York Red Bulls 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia II won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 39:45. (average 2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia II won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 2.1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Union II
MLS Next Pro
26.04.26	CT United - Philadelphia Union II	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Toronto FC II - Philadelphia Union II	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Philadelphia Union II - Carolina Core	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	New York Red Bulls 2 - Philadelphia Union II	1:2 penalties ✺
15.03.26	Philadelphia Union II - CT United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLWWL
- New York Red Bulls 2
MLS Next Pro
26.04.26	New York Red Bulls 2 - Columbus Crew 2	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	New York Red Bulls 2 - Cincinnati 2	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	New England Revolution II - New York Red Bulls 2	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	New York Red Bulls 2 - Philadelphia Union II	1:2 penalties ✺
15.03.26	New York City II - New York Red Bulls 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

MLS Next Pro
22.03.26	New York Red Bulls 2 - Philadelphia Union II	1:2 penalties
01.11.25	New York Red Bulls 2 - Philadelphia Union II	2:1
11.08.25	New York Red Bulls 2 - Philadelphia Union II	2:0
17.03.25	Philadelphia Union II - New York Red Bulls 2	2:1 penalties
26.06.24	Philadelphia Union II - New York Red Bulls 2	1:4
26.05.24	New York Red Bulls 2 - Philadelphia Union II	1:5
21.04.24	Philadelphia Union II - New York Red Bulls 2	2:1 penalties

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