Match Info

Women's National League North - Round 13

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Loughborough Lightning		Derby County

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.82	2.73	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.1
	2.17	3.52	2.81
	2.16	3.8	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.12)	3.69 ↓ (4.1)	2.85 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loughborough Lightning
43.5%

Draw
24.6%

Derby County
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

22.3%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loughborough Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Loughborough Lightning - Derby County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 10).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Loughborough won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Loughborough Lightning W	6	2	1	3	10:14	-4	7
9	Derby W	6	2	0	4	6:11	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loughborough Lightning Women
English National League North Women
30.11.25	Loughborough Lightning - Middlesbrough	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Loughborough Lightning	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Stoke City - Loughborough Lightning	2:2 ✺
30.10.25	Loughborough Lightning - Hull City	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Loughborough Lightning - Halifax FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLTLT
- Derby County Women
English FA Cup Women
14.12.25	Derby County - Sunderland	1:5 ✺
English National League North Women
30.11.25	Derby County - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup Women
23.11.25	Derby County - Stockport County	4:1 ✺
English National League North Women
16.11.25	Burnley - Derby County	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Derby County - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North Women
24.08.25	Derby County - Loughborough Lightning	1:2

Loughborough Lightning - Derby County: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide