Match Info

Women’s FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Don Amott Arena (Derby) 🌤️ ...


	Derby County		Sunderland

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Derby County
8.2%

Draw
14.1%

Sunderland
77.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17%

18.3%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sunderland's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Sunderland is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Derby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sunderland is the clear favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County Women
English National League North Women
30.11.25	Derby County - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup Women
23.11.25	Derby County - Stockport County	4:1 ✺
English National League North Women
16.11.25	Burnley - Derby County	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Derby County - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Hull City - Derby County	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLT
- Sunderland AFC Ladies
English WSL 2
07.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Sunderland	3:1 ✺
English League Cup Women
23.11.25	Sunderland - Durham	2:1 penalties ✺
English WSL 2
16.11.25	Newcastle United - Sunderland	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Sunderland - Portsmouth	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Sunderland - Bristol City	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County Women
English National League North Women
28.10.26	Derby County - Stoke City	✺

Derby County - Sunderland