Match Info

Women's National League North - Round 3

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday


	Loughborough Lightning		Stoke City

	1	X	2
	17.74	9.9	1.06
	12.91	7.81	1.13	Watch
	17	9.8	1.05
	21	10.9	1.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	17.16 ↑ (7.85)	9.6 ↑ (5.3)	1.08 ↓ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loughborough Lightning
5.3%

Draw
9.5%

Stoke City
85.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

17.3%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loughborough Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Loughborough Lightning's form might have worsened.

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stoke City's recent form is better than expected.

Loughborough Lightning - Stoke City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

In this match, Stoke is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Loughborough won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Loughborough won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Stoke City LFC W	6	3	2	1	13:5	8	11
7	Loughborough Lightning W	6	2	1	3	10:14	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loughborough Lightning Women
English National League North Women
26.04.26	Loughborough Lightning - Sporting Khalsa	6:0 ✺
12.04.26	Halifax FC - Loughborough Lightning	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Loughborough Lightning - Stoke City	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Loughborough Lightning - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:5 ✺
08.03.26	Middlesbrough - Loughborough Lightning	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTWLL
- Stoke City LFC
English National League North Women
26.04.26	Burnley - Stoke City	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Stoke City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:3 ✺
29.03.26	Loughborough Lightning - Stoke City	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Stoke City - Liverpool Feds	3:2 ✺
01.03.26	Stoke City - West Bromwich Albion	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North Women
29.03.26	Loughborough Lightning - Stoke City	1:0
09.11.25	Stoke City - Loughborough Lightning	2:2
English FA Cup Women
05.12.24	Stoke City - Loughborough Lightning	4:2
27.11.22	Loughborough Lightning - Stoke City	1:3

Loughborough Lightning - Stoke City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide