Match Info

Women's National League North - Round 18

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)


	Middlesbrough		Loughborough Lightning

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.18	4.82
	1.53	4.19	4.94	Watch
	1.5	3.75	5
	1.59	4.04	4.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.48)	4.04 ↓ (4.16)	4.92 ↓ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middlesbrough
59.1%

Draw
22.5%

Loughborough Lightning
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

22%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

21.2%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Loughborough Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Middlesbrough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loughborough Lightning than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Middlesbrough - Loughborough Lightning Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Middlesbrough has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Loughborough's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Loughborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Middlesbrough is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Middlesbrough won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Loughborough Lightning W	6	2	1	3	10:14	-4	7
12	Middlesbrough W	6	1	0	5	1:6	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middlesbrough WFC
English National League North Women
01.03.26	Middlesbrough - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	Middlesbrough - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Halifax FC - Middlesbrough	2:3 ✺
08.02.26	Derby County - Middlesbrough	0:4 ✺
01.02.26	Rugby Borough - Middlesbrough	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLWWT
- Loughborough Lightning Women
English National League North Women
24.02.26	Hull City - Loughborough Lightning	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Loughborough Lightning - Liverpool Feds	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Loughborough Lightning - Burnley	0:7 ✺
25.01.26	Rugby Borough - Loughborough Lightning	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Loughborough Lightning - Derby County	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North Women
30.11.25	Loughborough Lightning - Middlesbrough	0:0

Middlesbrough - Loughborough Lightning: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide