Match Info

Irish Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Lakeview Park (Loughgall)


	Loughgall		Cliftonville

	1	X	2
	6.1	4.35	1.44
	5.25	3.97	1.51
	25.00	15.12	1.00	Watch
	5	4	1.44
	6.07	4.75	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.48 ↑ (4.23)	6.44 ↑ (3.91)	1.37 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loughgall
10.6%

Draw
15.6%

Cliftonville
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

23.6%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

24.4%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loughgall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Loughgall's form might have worsened.

Cliftonville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cliftonville's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loughgall than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Loughgall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cliftonville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Loughgall - Cliftonville Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cliftonville (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Glendinning R. (G) 25. Carroll J. 35. Kerr C. 33. McCann S. 18. McElroy P. 32. McLaughlin K. 4. Murdock B. (C) 6. Norton R. 27. Scott J. 9. Stewart D. 5. Wilson D.	31. Morrison P. (G) 4. Addis J. 42. Fapetu A. 21. Glynn M. 19. Gormley J. 8. Hale R. 36. Hawthorne K. 28. Kelly J. 12. Leppard S. 27. McStravick L. 26. Toole J.
Substitutes
34. Corr L. 3. Crowe O. 17. Kelly D. 30. McCaffrey F. 22. Prendergast A. 31. Turker B. (G)	9. Curran R. 24. Kelly A. 18. McCay C. 2. Pepper C. 1. Ridd L. (G) 41. Sheridan J. 44. Tohill E.
Coaches
Murphy D.	Magilton J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Hawthorne K. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Leppard S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 3, McStravick L. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loughgall won 0.

Loughgall is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cliftonville has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Loughgall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cliftonville is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Loughgall won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:32. (average 0.7:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Loughgall won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 1.3:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loughgall FC
Northern Irish Championship
03.03.26	Institute FC - Loughgall	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Loughgall - Warrenpoint Town	1:0 ✺
24.02.26	Loughgall - Newington	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Limavady United - Loughgall	0:0 ✺
17.02.26	Loughgall - Ballinamallard United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWTW
- Cliftonville FC
Northern Irish Premiership
04.03.26	Portadown - Cliftonville	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Cliftonville - Linfield	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Cliftonville - Glentoran	0:4 ✺
21.02.26	Cliftonville - Crusaders	5:2 ✺
13.02.26	Dungannon Swifts - Cliftonville	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.07.25	Cliftonville - Loughgall	1:0
Northern Irish Premiership
26.04.25	Loughgall - Cliftonville	1:4
18.01.25	Cliftonville - Loughgall	2:0
23.11.24	Cliftonville - Loughgall	4:0
14.09.24	Loughgall - Cliftonville	1:5
16.03.24	Loughgall - Cliftonville	2:3
Northern Irish Cup
03.02.24	Cliftonville - Loughgall	4:0

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