Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Solitude (Belfast)

Referee: Boyce E. (Nir)


	Cliftonville		Glentoran

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.5
	3.20	3.40	2.02
	3.20	3.73	2.15
	3.12	3.56	2.06	Watch
	3.10	3.65	2.11
	3.09	3.40	2.05
	3.15	3.45	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.18)	3.51 ↓ (3.63)	2.13 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cliftonville
30.3%

Draw
26.3%

Glentoran
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

25.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

24.1%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cliftonville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Glentoran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glentoran than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Cliftonville - Glentoran Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Morrison P. (G) 25. Bannon A. 7. Campbell R. 8. Hale R. 10. Healy B. 12. Leppard S. 15. McClelland K. 16. McMaster D. 27. McStravick L. 20. Quinn B. 3. Samuels O.	1. Mills A. (G) 7. Clarke R. 2. Cooney R. 44. Douglas J. 19. Gallagher B. 3. Kane M. (C) 20. Larmour D. 29. Malone J. 16. Schilte-Brown E. 12. Sloggett G. 10. Stewart J.
Substitutes
14. Conlan L. 22. Cremen Cowan J. (G) 19. Gormley J. 36. Hawthorne K. 4. O’Connor D. 17. Thompson J. 2. Wightman A.	11. Daniels J. 38. Faloona J. 31. Francis Crellin W. (G) 30. Jenkins J. 5. Kelly J. 41. Rogers-Duffy C. 35. Weatherup C.
Coaches
Magilton J.	McCourt P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Malone J. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, McMaster D. ⚽,
41', Kane M. 🟨,
43', 🟨,
44', Malone J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gallagher B. ↓, Jenkins J. ↑,
76', Sloggett G. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Jenkins J. ⚽,
88', Malone J. 🟨,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 8th in the NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cliftonville won 0.

Cliftonville has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Glentoran is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Glentoran could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Glentoran is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cliftonville has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:28 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cliftonville against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 11:11 goals (averaging 1.4:1.4 per game).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Glentoran: 2.48% Cliftonville: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Glentoran	10	5	1	4	15:10	5	16
9	Cliftonville	10	4	0	6	12:12	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cliftonville FC
Northern Irish Premiership
15.09.26	Larne - Cliftonville	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Carrick Rangers - Cliftonville	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Cliftonville - Portadown	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Cliftonville - Dungannon Swifts	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Linfield - Cliftonville	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLL
- Glentoran
Northern Irish Premiership
15.09.26	Glentoran - Coleraine	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Glentoran - Bangor	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Larne - Glentoran	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Glentoran - Crusaders	1:2 ✺
21.08.26	Ballymena United - Glentoran	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
07.04.26	Cliftonville - Glentoran	1:2
18.03.26	Glentoran - Cliftonville	3:0
24.02.26	Cliftonville - Glentoran	0:4
06.12.25	Glentoran - Cliftonville	2:2
Northern Irish League Cup
02.12.25	Glentoran - Cliftonville	2:1 penalties
Northern Irish Premiership
07.05.25	Glentoran - Cliftonville	0:2
Northern Irish League Cup
09.03.25	Glentoran - Cliftonville	0:1 ET

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