Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Algarve (Faro/Loulé)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Louletano		União de Santarém

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.00	3.40
	2.07	3.05	3.25
	2.04	3.03	4.12
	2.29	3.06	3.23	Watch
	2.01	3.00	4.05
	1.99	3.41	3.66
	2.07	3.00	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.35)	3.08 ↑ (3.05)	3.57 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louletano
44.4%

Draw
29.8%

União de Santarém
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

29.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louletano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louletano's performance.

União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and União de Santarém might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Louletano - União de Santarém Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Marcao (G) 12. Gabriel Passos 14. van der Gaag L. 3. Correia T. 97. Mendes E. 27. Martelo N. 10. Goncalves V. (C) 8. Lemes S. 9. Teixeira G. 23. Daniel Paulino 87. Dias A.	1. Ribeiro R. (G) 2. Sousa B. 14. Simoes J. (C) 4. Almeida D. 55. Helder Sa 27. Soumare A. 6. Pami M. 8. Sousa A. 7. Diarra S. 9. Costinha 30. Mordomo R.
Substitutes
. Carlinhos 21. Cruz M. 65. Dede 13. Farrajota J. (G) 18. Martins D. 19. Sousa T. 90. Teixeira D. 29. Teixeira R. 6. Vilela T.	25. Geadas R. 18. Isnaba G. 3. Junior M. 20. Martins L. 37. Maya 21. Nobrega J. 47. Oliveira J. (G) 10. Ressurreicao D. 5. Tiago Andre

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Daniel Paulino ⚽, Mendes E. (A),
11', Mordomo R. 🟨,
19', Soumare A. 🟨,
45+1', Almeida D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sousa B. ↓, Martins L. ↑,
63', Helder Sa ↓, Tiago Andre ↑,
64', Soumare A. ↓, Isnaba G. ↑,
65', Dias A. ↓, Teixeira D. ↑,
65', Daniel Paulino ↓, Vilela T. ↑,
67', Simoes J. 🟨,
71', Teixeira G. ↓, Sousa T. ↑,
71', Martelo N. ↓, Teixeira R. ↑,
74', Sousa A. 🟨,
82', Sousa A. ↓, Nobrega J. ↑,
82', Goncalves V. ↓, Cruz M. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Mordomo R. (Penalty Awarded),
87', van der Gaag L. 🟨,
89', 1 - 2, Martins L. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Santarém is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Santarém may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Louletano will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Louletano - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.09%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louletano DC
Portuguese Liga 3
06.09.26	Louletano - Lusitano GC	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Louletano - Belenenses	1:3 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
31.05.26	Vitória de Sernache - Louletano	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Louletano - Oliveira Hospital	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Louletano - Atlético da Malveira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLTWT
- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
04.09.26	União de Santarém - Caldas	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Belenenses - União de Santarém	5:0 ✺
14.08.26	União de Santarém - Oliveirense	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Covilhã - União de Santarém	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	União de Santarém - Académica Coimbra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTLT

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