Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 4

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Algarve (Faro/Loulé)


	Louletano		Lusitano GC

	1	X	2
	3.20	2.75	2.20
	2.85	2.90	2.33
	3.20	2.81	2.56
	3.2	2.8	2.5	Watch
	3.40	2.75	2.30
	3.43	2.86	2.34
	3.10	2.80	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.65)	2.81 ↓ (2.88)	2.35 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louletano
28.6%

Draw
32.5%

Lusitano GC
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

30.9%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louletano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Louletano - Lusitano GC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Marcao (G) 3. Correia T. 87. Dias A. 12. Gabriel Passos 8. Lemes S. (C) 27. Martelo N. 97. Mendes E. 90. Teixeira D. 9. Teixeira G. 14. van der Gaag L. 6. Vilela T.	22. Martins D. (G) 10. Aguas M. 7. Batalha R. 13. Bura 53. Carvalho E. 5. Diagne O. 9. Lopes D. 37. Monteiro R. 25. Pinto J. 4. Santana C. (C) 23. Sequeira D.
Substitutes
21. Cruz M. 23. Daniel Paulino 65. Dede 13. Farrajota J. (G) 10. Goncalves V. 11. Kandala A. 18. Martins D. 19. Sousa T. 29. Teixeira R.	11. Andrade Male S. A. 2. Baixinho M. 8. Baptista T. 71. Buyla J. 30. Davou S. 1. Lemes M. (G) 19. Mota L. 20. Silva D. 21. Soares M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Lopes D. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
59', Batalha R. ↓, Andrade Male S. A. ↑,
67', Teixeira G. ↓, Sousa T. ↑,
67', Dias A. ↓, Goncalves V. ↑,
77', Diagne O. ↓, Buyla J. ↑,
77', Aguas M. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Martelo N. ⚽, Sousa T. (A),
82', Buyla J. 🟨,
85', Sequeira D. ↓, Davou S. ↑,
85', Teixeira D. ↓, Daniel Paulino ↑,
85', Martelo N. ↓, Teixeira R. ↑,
89', Vilela T. ↓, Martins D. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louletano won 1.

Lusitano GC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Louletano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Louletano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Lusitano GC - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.57%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louletano DC
Portuguese Liga 3
15.08.26	Louletano - Belenenses	1:3 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
31.05.26	Vitória de Sernache - Louletano	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Louletano - Oliveira Hospital	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Louletano - Atlético da Malveira	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Louletano - Vitória de Sernache	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWTL
- Lusitano GC
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Lusitano GC - Belenenses	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
22.08.26	Lusitano GC - Mafra	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Caldas - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Benfica B - Lusitano GC	1:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
02.05.26	Lusitano GC - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
29.03.25	Lusitano GC - Louletano	1:0
08.12.24	Louletano - Lusitano GC	2:3
18.02.24	Lusitano GC - Louletano	1:1
28.10.23	Louletano - Lusitano GC	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.02.21	Louletano - Lusitano GC	1:0
21.12.19	Louletano - Lusitano GC	1:1

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