Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 16

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	Loures		Marinhense

	1	X	2
	3.35	2.88	2.1
	3.3	2.9	2.15
	3.49	2.99	2.22
	3.3	2.96	2.18
	3.25	3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.7)	2.95 ↓ (3.1)	2.17 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loures
27.2%

Draw
30.9%

Marinhense
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.1%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

29%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loures has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Loures's form might have worsened.

Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loures than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Loures, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Marinhense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Loures won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grupo Sportivo de Loures
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	1 Dezembro - Loures	3:0 ✺
15.01.23	Loures - Mortágua	1:2 ✺
08.01.23	Loures - União da Serra	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	Sertanense - Loures	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Loures - Alcains	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLW
- AC Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Marinhense - Pero Pinheiro	2:3 ✺
15.01.23	Coruchense - Marinhense	0:0 ✺
08.01.23	Sintrense - Marinhense	2:0 ✺
18.12.22	Marinhense - União de Santarém	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.10.22	Marinhense - Loures	0:0

Loures - Marinhense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide