Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 18

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Loures		SB Castelo Branco

	1	X	2
	4	3	1.85
	4	3.3	1.75
	4.7	2.98	1.91
	4.35	3.18	1.8
	4	3.15	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (3.36)	3.12 ↓ (3.24)	1.84 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loures
21.6%

Draw
29.1%

SB Castelo Branco
49.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27%

28%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

26.6%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loures has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Loures's form might have worsened.

SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loures than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Loures, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SB Castelo Branco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Loures has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches SB Castelo Branco is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SB Castelo Branco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match SB Castelo Branco is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Loures won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Loures won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grupo Sportivo de Loures
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.23	Loures - Marinhense	1:2 ✺
22.01.23	1 Dezembro - Loures	3:0 ✺
15.01.23	Loures - Mortágua	1:2 ✺
08.01.23	Loures - União da Serra	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	Sertanense - Loures	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.02.23	SB Castelo Branco - Pero Pinheiro	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Coruchense - SB Castelo Branco	2:0 ✺
22.01.23	SB Castelo Branco - Sintrense	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	União de Santarém - SB Castelo Branco	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	SB Castelo Branco - Arronches Benfica	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
30.10.22	SB Castelo Branco - Loures	3:1
23.05.21	Loures - SB Castelo Branco	1:1
Taça de Portugal
20.10.19	Loures - SB Castelo Branco	4:2 ET
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.03.19	SB Castelo Branco - Loures	1:0

Loures - SB Castelo Branco

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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