Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 37

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Lowestoft Town		Spalding United

	1	X	2
	3	3.9	1.87
	3.3	4.1	1.8
	3.46	4.23	1.85
	3.56	3.95	1.77
	3.3	4.1	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.78)	4.06 ↑ (3.39)	1.82 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lowestoft Town
27.4%

Draw
22.5%

Spalding United
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

26.9%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

26.4%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lowestoft Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lowestoft Town's form might have worsened.

Spalding United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spalding United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lowestoft Town than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spalding United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lowestoft Town - Spalding United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Roberts J. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Lawlor D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
58', 0 - 3, Cartwright S. ⚽,
75', 0 - 4, Freeman K. ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 5, Lawlor D. (Pen),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Lowestoft is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Spalding is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Spalding could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lowestoft have a series of guest games.

Spalding will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lowestoft won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lowestoft Town
English Southern League Central Division
25.03.25	Biggleswade Town - Lowestoft Town	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Halesowen Town - Lowestoft Town	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Lowestoft Town - Kettering Town	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Royston Town - Lowestoft Town	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Stamford - Lowestoft Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLTTT
- Spalding United
English Southern League Central Division
22.03.25	Spalding United - Hitchin Town	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Biggleswade Town - Spalding United	3:4 ✺
08.03.25	Spalding United - Harborough Town	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Stourbridge - Spalding United	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Spalding United - Redditch United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
24.09.24	Spalding United - Lowestoft Town	3:2

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