Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 26

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Spalding United		Harborough Town

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.1	2.92
	2.26	3.51	2.93	Watch
	2.88	3.1	2.2
	2.25	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.08)	3.23 ↓ (3.64)	2.74 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spalding United
38.1%

Draw
28.4%

Harborough Town
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

25.5%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

25.1%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spalding United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spalding United's form might have worsened.

Harborough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spalding United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Spalding United - Harborough Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Thompson C. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, O’Sullivan R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
76', 2 - 1, Sano Sani A. M. ⚽,
90+10', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Spalding is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Harborough has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Spalding may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Spalding has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Spalding won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Spalding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spalding United
English Southern League Central Division
03.01.26	Spalding United - Barwell	3:0 ✺
27.12.25	Spalding United - Stamford	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Spalding United - Real Bedford	3:3 ✺
13.12.25	Spalding United - Worcester City	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Spalding United - Leiston	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWTTW
- Harborough Town
English Southern League Central Division
27.12.25	Harborough Town - Kettering Town	4:2 ✺
20.12.25	Needham Market - Harborough Town	1:3 ✺
17.12.25	Stourbridge - Harborough Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Harborough Town - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
29.11.25	Barwell - Harborough Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
12.08.25	Harborough Town - Spalding United	1:1
08.03.25	Spalding United - Harborough Town	0:2
10.09.24	Harborough Town - Spalding United	2:0

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