Match Info

Druga NL - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Lučko		Kustošija

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	1.95
	4.42	3.99	1.62	Watch
	3.26	3.4	2.01
	3.6	3.6	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (4.42)	3.6 ↓ (3.99)	1.85 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lučko
25.1%

Draw
25.4%

Kustošija
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

22.9%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

22.1%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lučko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Kustošija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kustošija might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lučko than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lučko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kustošija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lučko - Kustošija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva NL (Promotion: )).

Lučko has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kustošija is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lučko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kustošija is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lučko won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lučko won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Lučko Zagreb
Croatian Druga NL
17.10.25	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Lučko	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	Lučko - Uskok Klis	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Solin - Lučko	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Lučko - Bjelovar	4:0 ✺
19.09.25	Mladost Ždralovi - Lučko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLWL
- NK Kustošija
Croatian Druga NL
18.10.25	Uskok Klis - Kustošija	0:1 ✺
10.10.25	Kustošija - Bjelovar	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Segesta - Kustošija	1:4 ✺
26.09.25	Kustošija - Radnik Križevci	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Kustošija - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
02.03.19	Kustošija - Lučko	0:0
25.08.18	Lučko - Kustošija	2:1
21.04.18	Kustošija - Lučko	1:0
11.03.18	Lučko - Kustošija	2:1
01.10.17	Kustošija - Lučko	0:0

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