Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Luarca		Condal

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	2	3.2	3.5
	1.97	3.09	3.57
	1.97	3.09	3.57
	1.95	3.22	3.6
	2	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.82)	3.15 ↓ (3.4)	3.54 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luarca
45.8%

Draw
28.7%

Condal
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.6%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

25.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Condal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luarca than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luarca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Condal than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Luarca is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Condal has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Luarca will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Luarca won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Luarca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luarca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
12.11.23	Colunga - Luarca	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Luarca - Real Titánico	4:1 ✺
29.10.23	Barcia - Luarca	1:3
22.10.23	Luarca - LEntregu	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Caudal Deportivo - Luarca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWWLL
- CD Condal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
12.11.23	Condal - Avilés Stadium	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Llanera - Condal	3:0 ✺
29.10.23	Condal - Praviano	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Lealtad - Condal	3:0 ✺
12.10.23	Condal - Gijón Industrial	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
19.02.23	Luarca - Condal	0:0
15.10.22	Condal - Luarca	0:0

Luarca - Condal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide