Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 10

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Colunga		Luarca

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	4.75
	1.6	3.6	5
	1.58	3.61	5.09
	1.58	3.61	5.09
	1.55	3.78	5.2
	1.6	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.93)	3.62 ↑ (3.34)	5.02 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colunga
57%

Draw
25%

Luarca
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

27.2%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

26.4%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colunga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colunga's performance.

Luarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luarca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colunga than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colunga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luarca than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luarca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 15).

Colunga is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Luarca is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Luarca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Colunga will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Colunga won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Colunga won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Colunga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
05.11.23	Avilés Stadium - Colunga	3:2 ✺
01.11.23	Colunga - Lealtad	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Colunga - Llanera	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Praviano - Colunga	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Colunga - Lenense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWLT
- Luarca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
05.11.23	Luarca - Real Titánico	4:1 ✺
29.10.23	Barcia - Luarca	1:3
22.10.23	Luarca - LEntregu	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Caudal Deportivo - Luarca	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Luarca - Llanes	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
02.04.23	Colunga - Luarca	1:1
03.12.22	Luarca - Colunga	1:1
27.03.22	Colunga - Luarca	3:0
07.11.21	Luarca - Colunga	0:0

Colunga - Luarca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide