Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday


	Luarca		Sporting de Gijón B

	1	X	2
	8.49	4.46	1.31
	7.9	4.3	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.2 ↑ (5.68)	4.38 ↑ (3.84)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luarca
11.1%

Draw
20.8%

Sporting de Gijón B
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

23%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

22.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Sporting de Gijón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting de Gijón B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luarca than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón B than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Luarca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sporting de Gijón B is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Luarca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Luarca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luarca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
16.04.23	Avilés Stadium - Luarca	0:3 ✺
06.04.23	Luarca - Valdesoto	3:1 ✺
02.04.23	Colunga - Luarca	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Luarca - Llanes	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Luarca - Llanera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTWL
- Sporting de Gijón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
16.04.23	Sporting de Gijón B - Llanera	1:0 ✺
09.04.23	Tuilla - Sporting de Gijón B	1:4 ✺
02.04.23	Sporting de Gijón B - Ceares	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Real Titánico - Sporting de Gijón B	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Sporting de Gijón B - Condal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
07.01.23	Sporting de Gijón B - Luarca	4:0
20.03.22	Luarca - Sporting de Gijón B	0:0
31.10.21	Sporting de Gijón B - Luarca	5:0

Luarca - Sporting de Gijón B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide