Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 10

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Luckenwalde		Chemie Leipzig

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.3	3.5
	2.12	3.35	3.31
	1.98	3.34	3.4
	2.15	3.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.78)	3.32 ↓ (3.4)	3.28 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luckenwalde
44.5%

Draw
27.6%

Chemie Leipzig
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

26.9%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

24.5%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luckenwalde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luckenwalde's form might have worsened.

Chemie Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chemie Leipzig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luckenwalde than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemie Leipzig than the current prediction. (-4%)

Luckenwalde - Chemie Leipzig Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Luckenwalde (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Luckenwalde (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Luckenwalde (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 0, Will L. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luckenwalde won 2.

In recent matches, Luckenwalde has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chemie Leipzig has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Luckenwalde may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Luckenwalde will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Luckenwalde won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Luckenwalde won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV 63 Luckenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
21.09.25	Greifswald - Luckenwalde	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Luckenwalde - Hertha Zehlendorf	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Luckenwalde	4:0 ✺
29.08.25	Luckenwalde - Altglienicke	1:3 ✺
26.08.25	Hallescher - Luckenwalde	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLL
- Chemie Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
19.09.25	Chemie Leipzig - Berliner FC Dynamo	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Chemie Leipzig - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Hallescher - Chemie Leipzig	0:0 ✺
02.09.25	Chemie Leipzig - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Preussen - Chemie Leipzig	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
01.02.25	Chemie Leipzig - Luckenwalde	1:3
10.08.24	Luckenwalde - Chemie Leipzig	0:0
19.05.24	Luckenwalde - Chemie Leipzig	1:3
21.02.24	Chemie Leipzig - Luckenwalde	1:1
10.02.23	Chemie Leipzig - Luckenwalde	1:2
19.08.22	Luckenwalde - Chemie Leipzig	2:2
05.03.22	Luckenwalde - Chemie Leipzig	5:3

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